TNG 2023 Class 6A Bi-District Preview
Take a look at the model's picks for every game of the first round of the 2023 playoffs
If you haven’t done so already, be sure to check out our Week 11 Recap to see how we got here, and also check out our TNG Bracketology feature where we break down each bracket and each team’s advancement odds through to the State Championships. We covered both of those in even greater detail on this week’s epic podcast with special guest James Kowalewski, aka, Coach Kovo, which you can listen to here: TNG Playoff Preview Podcast.
In this post, we’ll simply present the updated model performance and the model’s picks for each of the games kicking off this year’s playoff season.
Historical Model Performance for the Bi-District Round
When we look at brackets, we can't help but look for potential upsets, and our data shows that most of the double-digit playoff upsets actually occur in the first round! As you look at the projections for this week, pay close attention to any team with greater than 15-20% odds to win…those a very live ‘dogs.
You can see in the table below that the model’s performance dips through the first two rounds of the playoffs, but that’s to be expected since we have, on average, tighter spreads as compared to a regular season week.
Now let’s take a look at what the model likes for this week’s games…