Let’s take a look at the Division 1 bracket, specifically, and how all 64 teams rank in adjusted offensive scoring. Not only against each other following this regular season’s performance, but also against last season and their 3-year average on this side of the ball. First, some deeper context around the top 10 offenses and then the full 1-64 list below!
Spring Westfield is almost a touchdown better than the #2 offense in the Division 1 field. Their AOS of 28.9 means that they score some four touchdowns more than what their opponents allow versus all other competition. They always have exceptional skill talent, but in comparing the improvement in this year’s numbers versus last season, it’s clear how much of an impact QB PJ Hatter has made following his transfer in from Klein Oak in the offseason.
The Chaps of Austin Westlake are “down” versus the ‘21 Cade Klubnik led Chaps, but still a very formidable unit at #2. This was to be expected when you lose one of the top signal callers to ever play Texas High School football, however holdovers RB Jack Keyser, WR Jaden Greathouse, WR Keaton Kubecka, and the offensive line are more than most in the state can handle.
North Shore has undergone a bit of a change in approach with the midseason injury to starting soph QB Kaleb Bailey. They now line up WR David Amador at quarterback and he does a great job of using his legs to put a lot of stress on the opposing defense with his overall athleticism. RB Choo Choo Johnson, soph RB D’Andre Hardeman Jr., junior WR Terrence Guillory, and the list goes on. This is an offense that stands to be great for a long time.
San Antonio Brennan’s offense starts and ends with senior dual-threat QB Ashton Dubose. He’s completed 70% of his balls with a 6-1 TD/Int ratio, that’s right there with the best this state has to offer. Like all of the great offenses on this list, he works multiple different targets in the pass game, including his twin senior WR Aaron Dubose alongside senior WR Avron Carter. The Bears are very much a big play offense with their top four wide receivers averaging over 17 yards per catch.
Arlington Martin is a well drilled unit that can hit you with a variety of guys, but they’re at their best when RB Michael Barrow is able to dominate proceedings both on the ground and receiving out of the backfield. It’s not too dissimilar of a look than what you get from this year’s Westlake with RB Jack Keyser. Smaller, but super quick and fast backs that are extremely tough to account for.
The Woodlands is currently around a field goal better offensively than they were last year and some ten points better than their 3 year average. The improvement can be attributed to junior QB Mabry Mettauer, who stands tall at 6’6, and the overall improvement he’s made from sophomore to junior year as a passer and athlete. Surrounding Mettauer is a deep group of talented skill players in WR/RB Arkez Gomez, WR/RB Jason Williams, WR Branson McShaffry, WR Patrick Rabel, WR Quannel Farrakhan Jr, RB Jacoby Mitchell, WR Jackson Bolender, and WR Shane Walker. This is an offense which thrives on getting behind defenses for big plays and also uses its wealth of skill talent, with a bit of creative design, to make up for the lack of a true feature running back.
Fort Bend Ridge Point is a very sneaky story offensively that we’re not sure has been uncovered in the public domain yet. They made a quarterback switch to soph QB Austin Carlisle in late September and their offensive performance immediately hit new levels. From an individual talent standpoint, this kid can throw the heck out of it. In the games before Carlisle took over, they registered around a 9 AOS. In the games immediately after he took over, they reeled off four straight 30+ AOS performances. Senior RB Ezell Jolly is absolutely legit, as is 6’2 big play junior WR Ashton Bethel-Roman. We’ll discuss more on the playoff pod this week, but mark down the Panthers down as a darkhorse.
Katy Cinco Ranch features one of the best passing attacks in the state led by their general in senior QB Gavin Rutherford. If you’ve listened to our podcast, you’ve heard us sing his praises early and often. If his unquestioned arm talent isn’t enough, he’s added another 600+ rushing yards on the ground. This offense also boasts two highly productive and athletes in their own right in senior WRs Seth Salverino and Noah Abboud. Senior RB Sam McKnight is another weapon that gets a star on the opposing team’s scouting report.
While the Duncanville Panthers are behind last year’s offensive pace by a little over a touchdown (see graphic below), they still possess great talent at every position. Junior RB Caden Durham is the engine that powers this offense. He is coming off of a 309 yard, 5 touchdown performance against DeSoto just a couple weeks ago. Sophomore QB Keelon Russell is coming on strong and has weapons like senior WR Lontrell Turner and soph WR Dakorien Moore, among others.
Houston Lamar has been a mainstay program for a long time. While they’ve been primarily associated with great defenses over the years, this year’s offensive group is performing at levels they haven’t seen in a long, long time. As you can see in the table below, only Westfield can claim a larger jump offensively versus their recent history. Senior QB Kenneth Rosenthal pulls the strings and is a very dangerous runner. Junior wideout Tristen Brown has caught for 30 yards per reception this season, that’s remarkable. They’ve gone over 30 aos in four of their last five games, so peaking at the right time.