TNG Matchups: Week 10
Elo ratings, expected win probabilities & margins of victory, game strengths
We've got another great week ahead in the Texas high school football season! Let’s chop up the data and take a look at this week's set of games, highlighting the most interesting and impactful games right at the top.
As always, we’ve included team Elo ratings, expected win probabilities, and expected margins of victory. We've also included a couple extra columns we refer to as “Game Strength” which is simply the combined Elo ratings of both teams in each matchup to help identify the top games of the week.
Top 10 Week 10 Matchups
Sorted on top 10 games in combined elos with an expected margin of victory of two touchdowns or less
Top 10 Week 10 Matchups by combined Elo
does not filter out expected blowouts like the above “best games” table
Week 10’s Closest Calls
All games that fall between 45% - 55% expected win percentage, which equates to less than a field goal expected margin of victory
TNG Matchups for ALL Week 10 games
Each team’s Elo rating was derived from our TNG Ratings Origin and Methodology this list is sorted by the “team” column in district order
(jc84chill) Thanks all, great catch. I just inserted the wrong image for that section. It was the "top 10 elo + margin of 14 or less" image instead of just the top 10 combined elo. I've swapped in the correct image.
if you want me to code review your sql... let me know.