We’re officially just one week away from the start of the 2022 season and that means it’s time to unveil the 2022 TNG Pick ‘Em Contest. This is your chance to test your knowledge and skills against our computer model.
Click Here to Open the Week 1 Pick ‘Em Entry Form
As we’ve mentioned previously, this will likely be different than any Pick ‘Em contest you’ve done in the past. For each game, we’ll show you our model’s favorite and their projected likelihood to win. You’ll then make your own estimation of the favorite’s chances to win. If you think the favorite will lose, then you’d enter a number less than 50 (i.e. you think the favorite has less than a 50% chance to win).
Here are a couple of examples:
Team A is a 57% favorite over Team B
Let's say you think Team A is 'guaranteed' to win, so you enter 100%. If Team A wins, you would pick up 25 points, while our model would only pick up 6.5 points. If Team A loses, however, you would lose 75 points, while our model would lose just 7.5 points
If you disagree with the model favoring Team A, and you believe Team B will win, you'd simply enter your pick as a number less than 50. For example:
Let's say you think Team B is going to win. You would still enter Team A's chance of winning. If you think Team B is 90% likely to win, then you'd enter 10% on the form for Team A's chances. In that case, here's how the points would be awarded:
If you're correct and Team A loses, you would gain 24 points, while our model would lose 7.5 points. If the model is correct and Team A wins, you would lose 56 points, while our model would gain 6.5 points.
For each game, you are simply picking the odds that our model's favorite will win. The more aggressive you are with the percentages you assign to the favorites chances one way or the other, the more points you can win. But, you can potentially lose much more if you are overconfident one way or another and you're wrong.
The idea is to give you a chance to risk more than a simple win/loss pick for each game, which also gives you a chance to win or lose more with each pick.
Rules:
Entries are due by 5pm each Thursday of the respective game week. Week 1 entries are due by 5pm on 8/25. Anything submitted after that point won’t be counted
The contest will run through the end of the regular season and will consist of 10 games each week
Winner will be determined simply by total points accumulated throughout the season. You must compete in at least 9 of 11 weeks to qualify to win. The TNG model is ineligible, as are members of the TNG staff
This is just for fun…no prizes other than the respect of your fellow competitors
Every Monday following each game week, we’ll post an updated Pick ‘Em standings table and we’ll send out the new batch of games to pick.
Click Here to Open the Week 1 Pick ‘Em Entry Form
Have fun with this. Share it with your friends and family so you can take them down!
Thanks boys. I am in. I really like this concept. Much more than the old Pick 'Em contest. May take me a while to know what I am doing but I am all in.